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02/21/2012 - Buenos Aires, Argentina (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Fresh off his title in Sao Paulo last week, reigning Buenos Aires champion Nicolas Almagro continued his winning ways Tuesday with a first-round victory at the Copa Claro tennis event.
The second-seeded Almagro fought back to beat Italian Potito Starace 4-6, 6-3, 7-6 (7-4) in 2 hours, 7 minutes on the red clay at Buenos Aires Lawn Tennis Club.
Almagro topped Argentine favorite Juan Ignacio Chela in last year's Buenos Aires finale and bested Italy's Filippo Volandri in last week's title tilt in Sao Paulo.
Up next for the world No. 11 Almagro will be Argentine Federico Delbonis.
Top-seeded David Ferrer of Spain breezed to a 6-1, 6-0 win over Argentine qualifier Andres Molteni, who was making his ATP World Tour main draw debut ranked No. 237. Ferrer, who was the runner-up here in 2010, has a 9-1 match record on the season. He opened the year with a title in Auckland.
Meanwhile, third-seeded Frenchman Gilles Simon handled Portuguese Rui Machado 6-3, 7-5, fifth-seeded Argentine favorite Juan Monaco leveled the aforementioned Volandri 6-1, 3-1, retired, and seventh-seeded Spaniard Fernando Verdasco dismissed France's Eric Prodon 6-4, 6-1. Monaco titled here in 2007 and was the runner-up in 2009.
An upset came when Spaniard Albert Ramos upended an eighth-seeded Chela 4-6, 6-3, 6-4.
Argentine David Nalbandian, who was the Buenos Aires titlist in 2008, cruised to a 6-2, 6-3 win over American lucky loser Wayne Odesnik.
Additional Day-2 wins came for the qualifier Delbonis, Russian qualifier Igor Andreev and Frenchman Benoit Paire.
The 2012 Buenos Aires champion will earn $82,900.
<< Georgetown names Marino offensive coordinator
Washington, DC (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Georgetown University football coach Kevin
Kelly announced Tuesday that Vinny Marino has joined the staff as the
offensive coordinator.
Marino has 20 years of coaching experience, including the last six as
<< Ex-Brazil boss Luxemburgo to coach Gremio
Porto Alegre, Brazil (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Ex-Brazil coach Vanderlei Luxemburgo
was named new boss of Gremio on Tuesday, one day after Caio Junior was fired.
Luxemburgo will be officially introduced Thursday, when the 59-year-old will
begin
<< Sporting, U.S. defender Onyewu suffers knee injury
Lisbon, Portugal (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Sporting Lisbon and U.S. defender Oguchi
Onyewu has suffered a torn ligament in his right knee and will be sidelined
two months, the Portuguese club announced Tuesday.
The 29-year-old Onyewu was injur
<< Auburn's Fortner to resign at season's end
Auburn, AL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Auburn women's basketball coach Nell Fortner
will resign as head coach at the end of the 2011-12 season, the university's
director of athletics Jay Jacobs announced on Tuesday.
Fortner has served as the te
No. 12 Florida clamps down in second half, beats Auburn >>
Gainesville, FL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Kenny Boynton scored 20 points and No. 12
Florida pulled away in the second half to beat Auburn, 63-47, on Tuesday.
Bradley Beal and Erving Walker added 13 points apiece for the Gators (22-6,
10-3 SEC
Seton Hall upends No. 9 Hoyas >>
Newark, NJ (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Jordan Theodore scored a career-high 29 points
on Tuesday, leading Seton Hall to a 73-55 toppling of No. 9 Georgetown.
Herb Pope added 12 points, while Brandon Mobley and Fuquan Edwin both had 10
for the P
Buckeyes roll over Illinois >>
Columbus, OH (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Deshaun Thomas scored 19 points and grabbed
five boards as eighth-ranked Ohio State took down Illinois, 83-67, on Tuesday.
William Buford added 17 points and Aaron Craft contributed 11 for the Buckeyes
(23-
Miller backstops Sabres over Islanders >>
Buffalo, NY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Buffalo's Ryan Miller made 30 saves in
Tuesday's 2-1 win over the Islanders.
Tyler Myers and Thomas Vanek both scored while Derek Roy and Jason Pominville
had two assists apiece for the Sabres. They h
(This is an update of a sportsbook for the May 4th issue of ESPN The Magazine).
The Kentucky Derby's post-position draw happened on Wednesday. And, as is always the case, shortly afterwards, a buzz raced around Churchill Downs. It was a low rumble at first, nothing that the squares in the mint julep crowd pick up right away. But by the time the sun set over the twin spires, the chatter was impossible to ignore. Everyone -- sharps, trainers, owners -- was talking about one thing: the wise guy horse, the pre-draw long shot us mopes didn't have on our radar until it was too late.
"You think you're hearing the scoop," says handicapper Lane Gold. "Then you get to the window, the odds are short, and you missed it."
Recognizing a wise-guy horse early is as hard as picking a Derby bonnet. That's because handicappers don't like hype (see ya, I Want Revenge). They want Thoroughbreds who look good losing prep races like the Santa Anita Derby. They eye horses who ate up the field after starting wide or made an easy transition from synthetic tracks to dirt. They look for ponies who showed muscle gain race to race and those who ran hard after several weeks' rest.
"A wise guy," says John Avello, a bookmaker at Wynn Las Vegas, "looks for a horse who can improve."
When I first wrote Horse Betting for The Mag, which I turned in a three weeks before Wednesday's draw, I predicted these three horses had wise guy potential:
CHOCOLATE CANDY (15-1 in mid-April, currently 20-1 according to Avello): His second-place finish at Santa Anita, following a seven-week layoff, proved two things: He can run after resting, and -- by losing a high-profile prep race -- he wouldn't be overhyped.
DESERT PARTY (15-1; 15-1): He was upset in the UAE Derby by a horse he had beaten twice. The public remembers his loss, but the wise guys his wins.
PIONEEROF THE NILE (8-1; 4-1): The big favorite at Santa Anita struggled to win, so he initially got less hype than Quality Road and I Want Revenge.
You may have noticed that the odds on Pioneerof the Nile have been cut in half, from 8-1 to 4-1. Which means the wise guys took a shine to him long before the post-position draw. But, to be honest, this is one of those years with four elite horses getting everyone's attention, squares and sharps alike.
"You're not gonna get a lot of chatter about a horse that isn't in that group, which includes Pioneer, I Want Revenge, Dunkirk and Friesan Fire," Avello told me Wednesday. "We don't have a group of horses behind those top four who look like real legit contenders."
Come Derby week, the final two elements in picking a wise guy horse are how he's working out and what gate he's coming out of.
(By the way, picking a Preakness favorite is a whole different bale of hay, partially based on how horses finish in the Derby. You can see my analysis of who has the best shot at Pimlico on Insider Sunday morning.)
Well, early in the week I Want Revenge, Pioneerof the Nile and Friesan Fire were working out better than anyone. Some thought Friesan Fire, currently 6-1, might have run too fast, burning a five-furlong run in :57 4/5. "When you are running that fast you have the sense that it took something out of him," says Gold. "The Derby is longer than any horse has run, and if they need that extra surge you worry they won't have it because they burned it in the workout."
But, Gold points out, Friesan Fire's trainer is Larry Jones, Two years ago his horse Hard Spun did a five-eighths workout in :57 3/5 and then went on to finish second, behind Street Sense, in the Derby. "Every trainer has different methods," says Gold. "And clearly he knows what he's doing."
Now, as for starting position, Gold says to remember this: Churchill Downs traditionally has 14 starting gates. For the Derby, it brings out auxiliary gates and between the original 14th gate and the new 15th gate, there is a little more space than there is between gates 1-14. "That 15 position will give you a precious second or two to sort out what's happening to your inside," says Gold. "Sixteen is also okay because you can follow the horse in front of you."
Dunkirk, one of the race favorites, is coming out of gate 15. In 16 is Baffert's Pioneerof the Nile. I Want Revenge drew 13, where Smarty Jones won from in 2004, and Friesan Fire picked the sixth position. "He doesn't have a lot of speed to the inside of him," says Gold. "So he will get a clear shot to be near the front."
All the jibber-jabber means this: Pioneerof the Nile has leapfrogged from 8-1 to being the second favorite, along with Dunkirk, behind I Want Revenge. Meanwhile, Friesan Fire, with a good trainer, a strong week of training and a decent post position, is still at 6-1. "By Saturday, it's possible he could go from fourth to the favorite," says Gold.
In other words, meet Friesan Fire, your 2009 wise guy horse.
"Now," says Avello, "it's time for action."
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